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31.03.2025 12:39 PM
WTI – 西德克薩斯中級原油。價格缺乏增長的支持
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西德州中質(WTI)原油價格正試圖吸引買家,但市場仍然處於不確定狀態。

對特朗普總統激進貿易關稅的擔憂對燃料需求造成壓力,這是限制油價增長的重要因素。此外,OPEC+即將在四月——很可能還包括五月——增加石油生產的計畫,進一步為價格上漲設下障礙。

特朗普威脅對俄羅斯石油徵收次級關稅,加劇情況的複雜性,因為他認為莫斯科阻撓了他終止烏克蘭軍事行動的努力。特朗普也威脅轟炸伊朗並徵收次級關稅,如果該國拒絕簽署核協議。這些威脅增加了俄羅斯和伊朗可能出現供應中斷的風險,從而對原油價格提供了支持。

同時值得注意的是,市場對聯邦儲備系統重啟降息週期的期望正在上升,這可能會對美元施加壓力,從而支撐以美元計價的油價。

從技術角度看,每日圖表上的振盪指標呈混合信號,顯示當前市場處於區間波動狀態。WTI支撐位於68.60水平;若跌破此位,價格可能在68.25穩定,並可能在心理關口67.00停頓。

另一方面,明顯的阻力位於70.00整數水平。如果價格突破這一水平,將面臨70.10的阻力,若能在此區域持續走強,價格可能升至70.50,這是100日簡單移動平均線(SMA)所在位置。因此,建議在進入新倉位前等待明確信號。然而,相對強弱指數(RSI)剛開始增長動能,顯示目前阻力最小的途徑是上行。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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