截至昨天的交易時段結束時,歐元下跌了47點,從早前試圖突破1.0949水準的嘗試中回落。支撐位1.0882被突破,當天的低點與近期上升趨勢的23.6%費波納奇回撤水平一致。導致這一跌勢的兩個主要因素是:股市小幅下跌(S&P 500 -0.22%)以及瑞士國家銀行將利率從0.50%下調至0.25%,導致瑞士法郎貶值0.52%。
日線圖上的背離已經發揮作用,但Marlin震盪指標的急劇下降令人擔憂,目前幾乎準備反轉。若價格上升至 1.0882 上方,將重新開啟通往 1.0949 的途徑,這是主要情景。要確認下行趨勢延續,價格需跌破昨日的低點,目標指向 1.0762。在這種情況下,Marlin 震盪指標可能會從零線反彈或發生虛假突破至負區域。
在四小時圖上,趨勢仍然偏空,因為價格在平衡線以下波動,而Marlin振盪器處於負區域。然而,目前存在著向上和向下的走勢佈局:如果突破1.0882,目標將是1.0949,而跌破1.0815則打開1.0762的下行目標。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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