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25.02.2025 01:30 PM
USD/CAD:該貨幣對受多重因素壓力
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在亞洲交易時段有所上升後,美元/加元已經停滯,目前在1.4260水平以下交易。

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這一下滑是由於美元略微走弱。

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近期來自美國的疲弱宏觀經濟數據,特別是初步PMI指數顯示,2月份私營部門商業活動降至17個月低點。這強化了市場對美聯儲可能在今年晚些時候降息的預期,對美元指數造成壓力。

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此外,原油價格的回升正在支撐加元,對美元/加元構成進一步的下行壓力。

驅動匯價的基本因素

加拿大消費者通脹的上升使投資者重新考慮加拿大央行在3月12日下一次會議上可能降息的預期。這一因素支持加元,並對美元/加元形成看跌情緒。

然而,對美國總統特朗普徵收的關稅經濟影響的擔憂可能限制加元的積極買盤。特朗普確認對來自加拿大和墨西哥的進口徵收關稅將於3月4日生效,為市場情緒增添了不確定性。

今天美元/加元的主要催化劑

交易員應關注美國消費者信心指數的發布,此指數再加上FOMC成員的發言,可能影響美元並為美元/加元提供新的動能。

此外,原油價格的變動可能在美國交易時段中創造短期交易機會。

技術展望

從技術角度來看,日線圖上的震盪指標仍堅定地處於負值區域,這表明美元/加元最小阻力的路徑是下行。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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