消費者物價增長從3.2%加速至3.5%,略高於預期的3.4%。這導致美元急劇上升,因為美聯儲可能在夏季提高再融資利率,由於通脹持續增加的速度比預期還快。然而,大多數市場參與者傾向於認為利率將在秋季開始下降,儘管這可能很快會被修改。
目前,市場上可能出現輕微的回落,而美元很可能也會繼續活躍上漲。即將舉行的歐洲央行會議的結果可能是美元進一步升值的原因,因為該委員會可能明確指定其政策放寬的時機。畢竟,歐洲的通脹降速,接近2.0%的目標水平。
上週美元兌歐元在美國通脹數據驅動下的下行趨勢中觸及本周最低點。然而,這樣一次劇烈的價格變動表明多頭可能過熱,可能導致回撤或停滯。然而,這種發展的可能性似乎不大,因為今天的歐洲央行會議可能會引發投機性價格波動。
在GBP/USD中,報價的急劇下降使價格接近支撐水平1.2500。儘管走勢放緩,但投機情緒依舊。如果跌破該水平,可能會增加空頭倉位的交易量。否則,1.2500水平可能會充當支撐。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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