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07.03.2024 08:59 AM
3月7日EUR/USD和GBP/USD的交易計劃

儘管歐元和英鎊近兩週持續停滯,但盡管歐元區零售銷售數據極為疲弱,僅創下超過-0.5%至-1.0%的銳減速度,而非放緩至-0.3%。消費者活動也持續下滑。

增長是因為美國就業數據和歐洲央行會議。前者雖然疲弱,但超出預期。就業人數增加了14萬,遠超預期的9萬。然而,要維持穩定,就業應該每月增長25萬。過去七個月內最好的結果應該是12月的,當時該指數上升了近15萬。考慮到這一點,美國勞動力市場形勢似乎不太樂觀,因此盡管歐洲數據疲弱,美元失去了地位。

至於歐洲央行會議,利率將保持不變。但是,克里斯汀·拉加德將舉行新聞發布會,她很可能會概述貨幣政策寬鬆開始的大約時間。首次降低可能會在約一個半月後進行。這樣的決定將削弱風險意願,因此在交易日結束時,歐元可能會重返其在昨天之前近兩周內交易的範圍。

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EUR/USD不僅完成了1.0800/1.0850水平區域的形成,還成功強化多頭倉位並突破了1.0900的阻力水平。因此,上升趨勢延續,但由於即將舉行的歐洲央行(ECB)會議,交易利益可能發生變化。

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英鎊/美元大幅上揚並突破1.2700水平。它來到1.2760,此處多頭部位的交易量部分減少。考慮到1.2770/1.2800區域反复充當阻力角色,上升趨勢可能會放緩。

Mark Bom,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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