1. Analysis of volumes for the ETHUSDT instrument from the Binance exchange.
This analysis uses data on horizontal volumes from the Binance exchange on daily charts. It is based on the Footprint-Profile theory, in which the movement of the level of the maximum horizontal volume per day can indicate the likely direction of the trend. The maximum volume level is the level at which the maximum number of transactions was made, that is, the level of large players. Accordingly, the upward movement of the maximum volume levels indicates an upward trend. A downward movement of the maximum volume level indicates a downward trend. Chaotic movement of the maximum volume levels indicates a flat in the market.
06/02/21 - Maximum horizontal volume level (POC - Point Of Control) - 2704
06/03/21 - Maximum horizontal volume level (POC - Point Of Control) - 2797
The POC moved upwards, the price is below the POC level. There is a sideways movement in the market, so you can buy and sell.
2. Analysis of the long-term trend.
A trend is a friend of a trader. Many traders know this saying but don't know how to use it. The answer is simple: trade only in the direction of the trend. This way your trades will have more profit potential with less risk. According to classical Dow theory, there are three main trends:
You need to analyze these three trends before opening any deal. This is what we will do in this analysis.
The long-term trend in this analysis is the daily trend. Deals will be executed on the daily timeframe and held for several days. The analysis of the daily trend is carried out using the EMA (48) - an exponential moving average with a period of 48. If the daily candle closes above the EMA (48), then we have an upward trend in front of us and we should buy. If the daily candle closes below the EMA (48), then the trend is downward and we should sell.
The price is in line with the EMA (48). The long-term trend is sideways, so in this situation it is worth considering selling and buying.
3. Analysis of the medium-term trend.
In this analysis, the medium-term trend will be the trend on the 4-hour chart (H4). The EMA (48), an exponential moving average with a period of 48, will also be used for this analysis. If the H4 candlestick closes above the EMA (48), then the trend is upward and you should buy. If the H4 candlestick closes below the EMA (48), then the trend is downward and you should sell.
The price is in line with the EMA (48). The medium-term trend is sideways, you can buy and sell.
4. Analysis of the short-term trend.
A short-term trend that can show the point of entry into the market well is a trend on the H1 timeframe. We will be helped by EMA (48) - an exponential moving average with a period of 48. If the H1 candlestick closes above the EMA (48), then the trend is upward and you should buy. If the H1 candlestick closes below the EMA (48), then the trend is downward and you should sell.
The price is below the EMA (48). The short-term trend is downward, so you can sell. Long-term, medium-term, and short-term trends do not coincide.
5. Japanese candlestick analysis.
Classic Japanese candlestick analysis is applied to the daily timeframe. In this analysis, we will also analyze the daily candlestick.
The daily candlestick is closed upwards, the candlestick is white. The high is above the high of the previous candlestick. Candlestick configuration - Indefinite, no large body, no large shadows. The minimum of yesterday's candlestick has already been broken. According to the candlestick analysis, you can both buy and sell.
6. Conclusions.
General conclusion: On June 4, you can buy and sell, since different types of analysis give different forecasts.
7. Statistics.
To analyze the effectiveness of this approach, statistics are kept on completed transactions. Forecasts and transactions are made in four instruments: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and BCH/USD. The yield is 10.49% for 4 months with a maximum drawdown of 4.88%. Statement:
I do not open new transactions on Ethereum if there is uncertainty in the market.
The risk per transaction is 1% of the deposit. For new trades, the stop loss is located behind the daily extreme point. We do not set a take profit, as we will accompany the transaction by moving the stop loss beyond the extreme points of the upcoming sessions.
Since trading is conducted on daily charts, this recommendation is relevant throughout the day.
Trade along the trend, and you will gain profits!
比特幣未能保持在94,000美元以上,回調至92,500美元區域,該區域似乎更為穩定。以太坊在短暫突破1,830美元後,也回落至約1,769美元。
比特幣昨日出現強勁上漲。在突破 $90,000 關口後,這一主流加密貨幣漲至 $94,000,其漲勢暫時停滯。
在BTC/USD的4小時圖上的波浪結構相當清晰。在完成一個由五個完整波浪組成的上升趨勢後,下行段開始形成,目前看似是修正。
在 Litecoin 加密貨幣 4 小時圖上成功突破向上擴張楔形形態後,隨之出現了 Litecoin 價格走勢與隨機指標之間的背離現象,以及出現了Bearish 123 型態並伴隨 Bearish Ross Hook (RH) 的出現,那麼在不久的將來,Litecoin 可能會再次走弱,以跌破 73.29 的水平。如果其走弱的勢頭和波動性足夠強,則 Litecoin 會再次走弱至 72.35 作為其主要目標和 70.65 作為其次要目標,但如果在其通往先前描述的目標水平的途中,Litecoin 突然出現增強,尤其是突破並收於 78.17 以上,那麼之前描述的所有走弱情景將變得無效並自動取消。
昨天,加密貨幣市場的壓力再度出現,因為交易員和投資者在美國股市引發了一波拋售潮。如我反覆所述,這兩個市場之間的相關性最近顯得相當顯著。
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