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28.11.2018 11:35 AM
到2030年,英国脱欧可能会将英国GDP削减5.5%

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根据伦敦经济学院和国王学院的一项研究,与英国在欧盟的情况相比,到2030年,英国的国内生产总值可能会减少5.5%。此外,在没有交易的情况下,英国经济的增长率可能从3.5%上升到8.7%。

通过做出这样的假设,该研究的作者关注了英国退出欧盟后出现贸易壁垒的可能性以及移民流量的下降。与此同时,该研究考虑到了英国在关税同盟中的保护,但被排除在单一市场之外。

专家们还认为,脱欧将导致不仅在商品方面而且在服务方面的贸易监管壁垒都会增加。此外,这项协议将意味着限制各国之间的行动自由,这将导致其他国家的技术工人和非技术工人的减少。

如果该国仍留在欧盟,所有这些因素将共同导致英国经济增长率低于1.9-5.5%。

Tatiana Strelkova,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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